If Bloomberg enters the Presidential race, then Hillary will win.
Mark our words, it’s Deja Vu all over again Yogi! If newly declared independent Mike Bloomberg decides to enter the Presidential race, then we could have a repeat of 1992. And if that happens, then Hillary will most likely win the election. How is that possible? Let’s jump into the wayback machine shall we?
In 1992 it was a 3 way presidential race between George H. W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and Ross Perot. Perot received 19% of the popular vote, but did not receive any of the electoral votes. That 19%, the Perot share of the popular vote, would have been enough to push Bush over the edge if Perot was not in the race. And we would not have had to suffer through the first 8 years of Clinton bullshit.
Let’s jump back to the now. After Hillary wins the Democratic nomination, the moderate Dems will be annoyed. Romney or Thompson will probably win the Repub nomination, because the GOP is so fractured right now over illegal immigration they can’t see the real threat to this country lies within. The liberal and moderate Repubs will be annoyed with this primary result. They will vote for Bloomberg. The Conservitive Pubs will get pissed off as the GOP nom goes to the middle befor the general election. The far right Conservative base will sit on its hands on election day to protest this.
If Bloomberg runs, he will present a seemingly viable moderate candidate. Repubs and moderate Dems will vote for him. But he will not get enough Dem crossover votes to make a difference, and way too many Repubs will stay home on election day. We all know that turnout is key to winning the election.
So, our prediction is:
Bloomberg will probably draw about 20 - 25%. Thompson and or Romney will probably get 30 - 35%. With the Dem’s crooked election tactics of having people like criminals and illegal aliens vote, not to mention the occasional dead person, Hillary will garner about 35 - 40% of the vote. That will be enough to put her in the White House.
Don’t think it will happen? Bookmark this posting, and we’ll see what happens in November 2008!
And you were thinking that the primary really didn’t matter, weren’t you?